Gospodarstvo

[bainit]

andrejus reče pred 6 minutami:

Pravi da domačini več ali manj hočejo do 40tega leta pridobit neko "manager" pozicijo, kjer večinoma sestankujejo.

jah, a se čudiš?

20. julij 2023 uredilo bitje bainit

[VonGriffin]

andrejus reče pred 32 minutami:

Ej @VonGriffin

en znanec, sicer Srb iz BL, nas vabi na Dunaj delat kot interni v eno multinacionalko.

Pravi da domačini več ali manj hočejo do 40tega leta pridobit neko "manager" pozicijo, kjer večinoma sestankujejo. Dejansko se pričakuje da tehnične stvari opravijo migranti. Seveda primanjkuje delavne sile v tehničnem delu IT tudi v VGlandiji. Plače so kar visoke v tem mojem delu, celo višje od nekega mini meneđerja; delo je pa treba opravit!
 

Sicer nismo zainteresirani, ampak kaj praviš ti na situacijo v Avstriji v IT sektorju. Kolikor vem si ti manager, oder?

 

 

naj ti prikazem na primeru: decembra sem imel certificiranje za Azure Stack . Za solanje so pripeljali M$ sistemskega arhitekta.

V programu sm bil edini. Na koncu mi je tip ponudil sluzbo 

 

to je toliko bolj tragicno ker bo Avstrija naslednjo leto odprla Azure datacenter na Dunaju kjer bo na voljo nekaj miljard za usposabljanje folka. Ki ga ni

 

Od vlog pa dobimo LE kvazi menagerje in  projekt lajterje (dejansko kar nekaj Slovencev) od tehnicne dela pa nic od nic. Bom srecen ce bo slo tako dalje da bomo dobil koga ki zna vsaj pravilno freigabe naredit v AD 

 

v infrastrukturi pac ljudje nocejo vec delati, manager brez tehnicnega znanja v IT nima kaj iskati 

po izkusnjah lahko pa recem da ljudje ki veliko govorijo nic ne delajo

 

zame lahko recem da imam izredno veselje delati neposredno z sistemi in tehnologijami in se to neglede na pozicijo nikoli ne bo spremenilo. Ce pak odem ja

20. julij 2023 uredilo bitje VonGriffin

[ana]

BlueSan reče pred 15 urami:

Kaj ma irska dolg 40% gdpja?

Nekaj čez. Ko se je vse skupaj sesulo 15 let nazaj, je bil čez 100%, če se prav spomnim. Sliši se super, samo je vse skupaj tako odvisno od multinacionalk, da samo čakam, kdaj se zadeve spet sesujejo. Drugače bo pa letos okoli 5 ali 6 miljard surplus iz davkov (pozabila sem točno številko).

 

Edit: 10 miljard in za naslednje leto se pričakuje 16 miljard. V bistvu so številke tako velike, da je težko razumeti.

20. julij 2023 uredilo bitje ana

[Arey]

VonGriffin reče pred 10 urami:

 

 

Od vlog pa dobimo LE kvazi menagerje in  projekt lajterje (dejansko kar nekaj Slovencev) od tehnicne dela pa nic od nic. Bom srecen ce bo slo tako dalje da bomo dobil koga ki zna vsaj pravilno freigabe naredit v AD 

Pravilo trga bi reklo da ne ponujate dovolj za tehnicne pozicije.

[maksi]

naj si uvozijo indijce in filipince kot hočejo slovenski podjetniki (ok, naši bi radi pakistance, ker ne rabijo izobražene delovne sile)

20. julij 2023 uredilo bitje maksi

[BlueSan]

ana reče pred 10 urami:

Nekaj čez. Ko se je vse skupaj sesulo 15 let nazaj, je bil čez 100%, če se prav spomnim. Sliši se super, samo je vse skupaj tako odvisno od multinacionalk, da samo čakam, kdaj se zadeve spet sesujejo. Drugače bo pa letos okoli 5 ali 6 miljard surplus iz davkov (pozabila sem točno številko).

 

Edit: 10 miljard in za naslednje leto se pričakuje 16 miljard. V bistvu so številke tako velike, da je težko razumeti.

Ja debt 40% gdpja ni nic posebnega. Vazn da se ga da odplacevati z lahkoto vse ostalo je larifari.

Razn ce si zda pol so posebne fore

[maksi]

Eh pusti Irsko, ki so EU davčna oaza za multinacionalke.

[ana]

BlueSan reče pred 39 minutami:

Ja debt 40% gdpja ni nic posebnega. Vazn da se ga da odplacevati z lahkoto vse ostalo je larifari.

Razn ce si zda pol so posebne fore

Seveda ni nič posebnega. Noro je, ker so številke šle tako gor, da je na tam nekje 60% manj kot je bil. Itak niso odplačali tega, ampak se je gdp tako enormno povečal.

20. julij 2023 uredilo bitje ana

[Waslich]

VonGriffin reče Dne, 20. 7. 2023 at 7:29:

 

Da je prihodnost EV misli le tisti ki ga dejansko ne vozi , Kia EV6 v tej vrocini glih da spravim skupaj 300km (100 po avtocesti), strom pa me v dalmacijo pride isto ali drazje kot bencin zaradi nategovanja z polnjenjem 

Kia Charge celo zahteva mesecno narocnino da sploh lahko aplikacijo uporabljas...

 

 

Jaz vozim EV in lahko rečem, da bo ICE kmalu zgodovina. Samo to se še ne opazi v Evropi, zato ker je glavno gonilo spremembe Kitajska. Kmalu bo pljusknilo tudi k nam. 

21. julij 2023 uredilo bitje Waslich

[bainit]

Waslich reče pred 40 minutami:

Jaz vozim EV in lahko rečem, da bo ICE kmalu zgodovina. Samo to se še ne opazi v Evropi, zato ker je glavno gonilo spremembe je Kitajska. Kmalu bo pljusknilo tudi k nam. 

kerga pa maš, teslo, vw id?

pri množični proizvodnji bodo problem baterije oz. osnovni materiali.

[Mr.G.]

Jest bi pa en tovornjaček imel na baterije.

A se da takga predelat?

[Waslich]

bainit reče pred 10 urami:

kerga pa maš, teslo, vw id?

pri množični proizvodnji bodo problem baterije oz. osnovni materiali.

 

 

Avdi.

[GTA]

Just a small cooldown

 

oh wait

 

[tyne]

Sovicha reče Dne, 19. 7. 2023 at 17:37:

this just in

 

Kontekst (za druge, ne zate k maš itak glavo do kitajske v pesek zakopano).

 

Za ZDA se je pričakovalo močno ohlajanje gospodarstva in celo recesijo, zato je to soliden rezultat.

Kitajska je bila v lockdownu in če so uspel napraskat samo 6% več kot v lockdown ekonomiji je to pač slabo. QoQ rast so mel 0,8%, kar je absolutno porazno.

[GTA]

BTW, 1.1% GDPja je porazna stevilka. 2% (real GDP per capita)  je tista tocka po kateri se gleda ali je obdobje prosperitja ali pa depresije.

 

Se huje, od leta 2008 rastemo z 1/6 rasti, ki smo jo imeli v 1930s 

[atomic]

VonGriffin reče Dne, 20. 7. 2023 at 8:23:

 

to je toliko bolj tragicno ker bo Avstrija naslednjo leto odprla Azure datacenter na Dunaju kjer bo na voljo nekaj miljard za usposabljanje folka. Ki ga ni

 

Od vlog pa dobimo LE kvazi menagerje in  projekt lajterje (dejansko kar nekaj Slovencev) od tehnicne dela pa nic od nic. Bom srecen ce bo slo tako dalje da bomo dobil koga ki zna vsaj pravilno freigabe naredit v AD 

 

v infrastrukturi pac ljudje nocejo vec delati, manager brez tehnicnega znanja v IT nima kaj iskati 

po izkusnjah lahko pa recem da ljudje ki veliko govorijo nic ne delajo

 

zame lahko recem da imam izredno veselje delati neposredno z sistemi in tehnologijami in se to neglede na pozicijo nikoli ne bo spremenilo. Ce pak odem ja

Kako gre že VGjeva modrost?

 

Plačajo naj folk pa ga bo dovolj!

[Kruz]

Navedek

Argentina, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have all been invited to become members of BRICS, said South African President Cyril Ramaphosa, who hosted a three-day summit of the emerging markets group in Johannesburg this week.

Their membership will take effect January 1, 2024.

https://www.reuters.com/world/new-scenario-opens-argentina-with-brics-invitation-fernandez-says-2023-08-24/

https://www.politico.eu/article/brics-summit-south-africa-six-new-countries-join-alliance/

 

 

[Wallux]

GTA reče Dne, 22. 7. 2023 at 7:45:

BTW, 1.1% GDPja je porazna stevilka. 2% (real GDP per capita)  je tista tocka po kateri se gleda ali je obdobje prosperitja ali pa depresije.

 

Se huje, od leta 2008 rastemo z 1/6 rasti, ki smo jo imeli v 1930s 

 

Itak je zahod čist v riti zaradi vseh teh zelenih prehodov/net zero bulšitov. Saj ne moreš meti neke hude proizvodnje/rasti, če imaš najdražji štrom/energente na planetu. Investira se ogromno milijard za razne vetrne in sončne traparije.

Zahod se strela v obe koleni kjer le ima možnosti. Švabi so lep primer tega.

Sej, naj folk še naprej voli te mainstream trapce... enkrat jim bo kapnilo.

22. december 2023 uredilo bitje Wallux

[Kruz]

Navedek

Saudi Arabia and UAE officially join Brics: What will it mean for the bloc

https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/economy/2024/01/01/saudi-arabia-and-uae-officially-join-brics-what-will-it-mean-for-the-bloc/

[GTA]

[bainit]

Germany’s Days as an Industrial Superpower Are Coming to an End

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-02-10/why-germany-s-days-as-an-industrial-superpower-are-coming-to-an-end?leadSource=reddit_wall

 

In a cavernous production hall in Düsseldorf last fall, the somber tones of a horn player accompanied the final act of a century-old factory.
Amid the flickering of flares and torches, many of the 1,600 people losing their jobs stood stone-faced as the glowing metal of the plant’s last product — a steel pipe — was smoothed to a perfect cylinder on a rolling mill. The ceremony ended a 124-year run that began in the heyday of German industrialization and weathered two world wars, but couldn’t survive the aftermath of the energy crisis.
There have been numerous iterations of such finales over the past year, underscoring the painful reality facing Germany: its days as an industrial superpower may be coming to an end. Manufacturing output in Europe’s biggest economy has been trending downward since 2017, and the decline is accelerating as competitiveness erodes.
“There’s not a lot of hope, if I’m honest,” said Stefan Klebert, chief executive officer of GEA Group AG — a supplier of manufacturing machinery that traces its roots to the late 1800s. “I am really uncertain that we can halt this trend. Many things would have to change very quickly.”
The underpinnings of Germany’s industrial machine have fallen like dominoes. The US is drifting away from Europe and is seeking to compete with its transatlantic allies for climate investment. China is becoming a bigger rival and is no longer an insatiable buyer of German goods. The final blow for some heavy manufacturers was the end of huge volumes of cheap Russian natural gas.

Alongside global volatility, political paralysis in Berlin is intensifying long-standing domestic issues such as creaking infrastructure, an aging workforce and the snarl of red tape. The education system, once a strength, is emblematic of a long-term lack of investment in public services. The Ifo research institute estimates that declining math skills will cost the economy about €14 trillion ($15 trillion) in output by the end of the century.

In some cases, the industrial downshift is taking place in small steps like scaling back expansion and investment plans. Others are more evident like shifting production lines and trimming staff. In extreme instances — like Vallourec SACA’s pipe plant, once part of fallen industrial giant Mannesmann — the consequence is permanent closure.

“The shock was huge,” said Wolfgang Freitag, who worked at the plant since he was a teenager. The 59-year-old’s job now is to disassemble equipment for sale and help his old colleagues find new work.
Germany still has an enviable roster of small, agile manufacturers, and the Bundesbank and others reject the notion that full-blown deindustrialization is anywhere close. But with reforms stalled, it’s unclear what will slow the decline.
“We are no longer competitive,” Finance Minister Christian Lindner said at a Bloomberg event earlier this month. “We are getting poorer because we have no growth. We are falling behind.”

Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s fractious coalition was thrown into further disarray in mid-November by a budget crisis sparked by a court ruling over borrowing measures, leaving the government with little leeway to invest.
“You don’t have to be a pessimist to say that what we’re doing at the moment won’t be enough,” said Volker Treier, foreign trade chief at Germany’s Chambers of Commerce and Industry. “The speed of structural change is dizzying.”
Frustration is widespread. Although hundreds of thousands of people have hit the streets in recent weeks to protest against far-right extremism, the anti-immigration Alternative für Deutschland, or AfD, is ahead of all three ruling parties in the polls — trailing only the conservative bloc. Scholz’s Social Democrat-led alliance has support from 34% of voters, according to a Spiegel analysis of recent surveys.

Fading industrial competitiveness threatens to plunge Germany into a downward spiral, according to Maria Röttger, head of northern Europe for Michelin. The French tiremaker is shutting two of its German plants and downsizing a third by the end of 2025 in a move that will affect more than 1,500 workers. US rival Goodyear has similar plans for two facilities.
“Despite the motivation of our employees, we have arrived at a point where we can’t export truck tires from Germany at competitive prices,” she said in an interview. “If Germany can’t export competitively in the international context, the country loses one of its biggest strengths.”

Other examples of decline surface regularly. GEA is closing a pump factory near Mainz in favor of a newer site in Poland. Auto-parts maker Continental AG announced plans in July to abandon a plant that makes components for safety and brake systems. Rival Robert Bosch GmbH is in the process of slashing thousands of workers.
The energy crisis in the summer of 2022 was a major catalyst. While worst-case scenarios like freezing homes and rationing were avoided, prices remain higher than in other economies, which adds to costs from higher wages and regulatory complexity.

One of the hardest-hit sectors has been chemicals — a direct result of Germany’s loss of cheap Russian gas. With the transition to clean hydrogen still uncertain, nearly one in 10 companies are planning to permanently halt production processes, according to a recent survey by the VCI industry association. BASF SE, Europe’s biggest chemical producer, is cutting 2,600 jobs and Lanxess AG is reducing staff by 7%.
Germany’s sluggish bureaucracy also isn’t keeping pace, even when companies are prepared to invest. GEA installed solar capacity at a factory in the western German town of Oelde, where it makes equipment that can separate cream from milk. It applied for permits to feed in the power last January, two months before starting construction and is still waiting for approval — nearly two years after initiating the project.

The energy squeeze came quickly on the heels of disruptions from the pandemic that led to stalled assembly lines as German automakers waited months for chips and other components, underscoring the risks of relying on a far-flung network of suppliers, especially in Asia.

China is now causing trouble for Germany in a number of ways. On top of its strategic shift into advanced manufacturing, a slowdown of the Asian superpower’s economy is sapping demand for German goods even further. At the same time, cheap competition from China is worrying industries key for Germany’s climate transition — and not just electric cars.
Manufacturers of solar panels are shuttering operations and cutting staff as they struggle to compete with state-supported Chinese rivals. Dresden-based Solarwatt GmbH has already cut 10% of its workforce and may relocate production abroad if the situation doesn’t improve this year, according to CEO Detlef Neuhaus.

Germany’s headwinds require adaptation. For EBM-Papst, a producer of fans and ventilators, the industrial crisis meant acquiring a struggling supplier. And to stay nimble, the company shifted production to components for heat pumps and data centers and away from the auto sector. It’s also looking to move some administrative tasks to eastern Europe or India.
“It’s not just energy,” CEO Klaus Geißdörfer said in an interview. “It’s also staff availability in Germany, which is now very tense.” Within a decade, the working-age population will be too small to keep the economy functioning as it does today, he added.

The Bundesbank concluded in a September report that a decline in manufacturing — which accounts for just under 20% of the economy, nearly twice the US’s level — isn’t worrying if it’s gradual.
Such a trend could mean the end of the road for more basic manufacturers like the pipe plant in Düsseldorf. Freitag, a member of the factory’s works council, is now helping prepare the 90-hectare site for sale. Much of the equipment will end up in a scrapyard, which “makes my heart and eyes weep,” he said.

 

10. februar 2024 uredilo bitje bainit

[╭∩╮ cocacola]

bainit reče pred 46 minutami:

Germany’s Days as an Industrial Superpower Are Coming to an End

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2024-02-10/why-germany-s-days-as-an-industrial-superpower-are-coming-to-an-end?leadSource=reddit_wall

 

In a cavernous production hall in Düsseldorf last fall, the somber tones of a horn player accompanied the final act of a century-old factory.
Amid the flickering of flares and torches, many of the 1,600 people losing their jobs stood stone-faced as the glowing metal of the plant’s last product — a steel pipe — was smoothed to a perfect cylinder on a rolling mill. The ceremony ended a 124-year run that began in the heyday of German industrialization and weathered two world wars, but couldn’t survive the aftermath of the energy crisis.
There have been numerous iterations of such finales over the past year, underscoring the painful reality facing Germany: its days as an industrial superpower may be coming to an end. Manufacturing output in Europe’s biggest economy has been trending downward since 2017, and the decline is accelerating as competitiveness erodes.
“There’s not a lot of hope, if I’m honest,” said Stefan Klebert, chief executive officer of GEA Group AG — a supplier of manufacturing machinery that traces its roots to the late 1800s. “I am really uncertain that we can halt this trend. Many things would have to change very quickly.”
The underpinnings of Germany’s industrial machine have fallen like dominoes. The US is drifting away from Europe and is seeking to compete with its transatlantic allies for climate investment. China is becoming a bigger rival and is no longer an insatiable buyer of German goods. The final blow for some heavy manufacturers was the end of huge volumes of cheap Russian natural gas.

Alongside global volatility, political paralysis in Berlin is intensifying long-standing domestic issues such as creaking infrastructure, an aging workforce and the snarl of red tape. The education system, once a strength, is emblematic of a long-term lack of investment in public services. The Ifo research institute estimates that declining math skills will cost the economy about €14 trillion ($15 trillion) in output by the end of the century.

In some cases, the industrial downshift is taking place in small steps like scaling back expansion and investment plans. Others are more evident like shifting production lines and trimming staff. In extreme instances — like Vallourec SACA’s pipe plant, once part of fallen industrial giant Mannesmann — the consequence is permanent closure.

“The shock was huge,” said Wolfgang Freitag, who worked at the plant since he was a teenager. The 59-year-old’s job now is to disassemble equipment for sale and help his old colleagues find new work.
Germany still has an enviable roster of small, agile manufacturers, and the Bundesbank and others reject the notion that full-blown deindustrialization is anywhere close. But with reforms stalled, it’s unclear what will slow the decline.
“We are no longer competitive,” Finance Minister Christian Lindner said at a Bloomberg event earlier this month. “We are getting poorer because we have no growth. We are falling behind.”

Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s fractious coalition was thrown into further disarray in mid-November by a budget crisis sparked by a court ruling over borrowing measures, leaving the government with little leeway to invest.
“You don’t have to be a pessimist to say that what we’re doing at the moment won’t be enough,” said Volker Treier, foreign trade chief at Germany’s Chambers of Commerce and Industry. “The speed of structural change is dizzying.”
Frustration is widespread. Although hundreds of thousands of people have hit the streets in recent weeks to protest against far-right extremism, the anti-immigration Alternative für Deutschland, or AfD, is ahead of all three ruling parties in the polls — trailing only the conservative bloc. Scholz’s Social Democrat-led alliance has support from 34% of voters, according to a Spiegel analysis of recent surveys.

Fading industrial competitiveness threatens to plunge Germany into a downward spiral, according to Maria Röttger, head of northern Europe for Michelin. The French tiremaker is shutting two of its German plants and downsizing a third by the end of 2025 in a move that will affect more than 1,500 workers. US rival Goodyear has similar plans for two facilities.
“Despite the motivation of our employees, we have arrived at a point where we can’t export truck tires from Germany at competitive prices,” she said in an interview. “If Germany can’t export competitively in the international context, the country loses one of its biggest strengths.”

Other examples of decline surface regularly. GEA is closing a pump factory near Mainz in favor of a newer site in Poland. Auto-parts maker Continental AG announced plans in July to abandon a plant that makes components for safety and brake systems. Rival Robert Bosch GmbH is in the process of slashing thousands of workers.
The energy crisis in the summer of 2022 was a major catalyst. While worst-case scenarios like freezing homes and rationing were avoided, prices remain higher than in other economies, which adds to costs from higher wages and regulatory complexity.

One of the hardest-hit sectors has been chemicals — a direct result of Germany’s loss of cheap Russian gas. With the transition to clean hydrogen still uncertain, nearly one in 10 companies are planning to permanently halt production processes, according to a recent survey by the VCI industry association. BASF SE, Europe’s biggest chemical producer, is cutting 2,600 jobs and Lanxess AG is reducing staff by 7%.
Germany’s sluggish bureaucracy also isn’t keeping pace, even when companies are prepared to invest. GEA installed solar capacity at a factory in the western German town of Oelde, where it makes equipment that can separate cream from milk. It applied for permits to feed in the power last January, two months before starting construction and is still waiting for approval — nearly two years after initiating the project.

The energy squeeze came quickly on the heels of disruptions from the pandemic that led to stalled assembly lines as German automakers waited months for chips and other components, underscoring the risks of relying on a far-flung network of suppliers, especially in Asia.

China is now causing trouble for Germany in a number of ways. On top of its strategic shift into advanced manufacturing, a slowdown of the Asian superpower’s economy is sapping demand for German goods even further. At the same time, cheap competition from China is worrying industries key for Germany’s climate transition — and not just electric cars.
Manufacturers of solar panels are shuttering operations and cutting staff as they struggle to compete with state-supported Chinese rivals. Dresden-based Solarwatt GmbH has already cut 10% of its workforce and may relocate production abroad if the situation doesn’t improve this year, according to CEO Detlef Neuhaus.

Germany’s headwinds require adaptation. For EBM-Papst, a producer of fans and ventilators, the industrial crisis meant acquiring a struggling supplier. And to stay nimble, the company shifted production to components for heat pumps and data centers and away from the auto sector. It’s also looking to move some administrative tasks to eastern Europe or India.
“It’s not just energy,” CEO Klaus Geißdörfer said in an interview. “It’s also staff availability in Germany, which is now very tense.” Within a decade, the working-age population will be too small to keep the economy functioning as it does today, he added.

The Bundesbank concluded in a September report that a decline in manufacturing — which accounts for just under 20% of the economy, nearly twice the US’s level — isn’t worrying if it’s gradual.
Such a trend could mean the end of the road for more basic manufacturers like the pipe plant in Düsseldorf. Freitag, a member of the factory’s works council, is now helping prepare the 90-hectare site for sale. Much of the equipment will end up in a scrapyard, which “makes my heart and eyes weep,” he said.

 

 

Še dolgo je trajalo ob vsej tej levičarski medicini. Visoki davki, zelena energija, birokracija, migranti, sami super ukrepi za umor države.