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johnbi

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BlueSan reče pred 42 minutami:

Sem napisal, preberi še 100x če hočeš ampak ne mislm, it s tabo v debato.

Ene 20 minut sm pa vrjetno res zgubil s temle postom, vprašanje če je mel smisel in je bil za koga koristn.

Napisal si kaj ti misliš. O strukturi vojske in koliko generalov ima nisi napisal ničesar. 

 

Katastrofa. Jst sm se zajebaval ko sem napisal da si po zemljevidu iskal generale pa si jih očitno res. Hint: te številke (cca 20 generalov) so preračunane za zahodne standarde. Nekateri viri trdijo, da ma ruska vojska 750 - 1200 generalov v redni sestavi.  To je zato ker uporabljajo top down approach in skoraj nič kar bi se smatralo kot vojaški manever ni narejeno brez potrditve generala. zato imajo toliko oficirjev. a je to dobro ali ne je vprašanje je pa tako

 

 

ojoj zdej sm odprl wikipedio. pa ti si iz wikipedie prevajal model. 

 

aja še to.v siriji sta umrla dva generala in en major general je bil resno ranjen. glede na situacijo dost primerljivo in normalno za ruse

Russian Armed Forces casualties in Syria - Wikipedia 

 

(da ne boš rekel da si zmišljujem. 264 smrti 3 generali mrtvi. 10k smrti in 7 generalov je pa kao katastrofa)

uredilo bitje zzarafrustra
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Eko, se ena zanimiva ukrajina bilosko orozje related zadeva:

 

https://nypost.com/2022/03/26/hunter-biden-played-role-in-funding-us-bio-labs-contractor-in-ukraine-e-mails/amp/

 

A trove of e-mails on Hunter Biden’s infamous laptop — the existence of which was exclusively reported by The Post in October 2020 — found that he played a role in helping a California defense contractor analyze killer diseases and bioweapons in Ukraine.

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Človek več ne ve ali je morda Pootin tale svoj neuspeli poskus okupacije Ukrajine uporabil kot krinko za čistke med generali.

 

https://nova24tv.si/svet/video-se-en-ruski-general-izgubil-zivljenje-ruska-vojska-zavzela-mesto-v-blizini-cernobila/

 

Na severu se je predvčerajšnjim ruska vojska začela umikat.

 

https://nova24tv.si/svet/putinova-severna-fronta-pred-sesutjem/

 

Navedek

Putinova severna fronta je pred sesutjem, umika se in za seboj razstreljuje mostove, kar kaže, da povratka v Kijev verjetno ne pričakujejo več, pa tudi, da je Putinova severna operacija najverjetneje končana ali blizu konca. Vstop Belorusije v vojno bi sicer lahko stabiliziral rusko fronto, ne more pa več spremeniti izida bitke za Kijev. Brez Belorusije pa bi lahko ruska severna fronta celo kolapsirala, navajajo poznavalci.

Putina že zapuščajo nekateri dolgoletni najzvestejši sopotniki, obrambnega ministra ni na spregled že dva tedna, s svojega položaja je včeraj želela odstopiti tudi predsednica ruske centralne banke Elvira Nabiulina, ena najvplivnejših Rusinj, vendar ji je Putin ukazal, naj ostane. V Rusiji je umrlo okoli 15 tisoč ruskih vojakov, trupla se kopičijo, saj Putin pred Rusi skriva prave podatke. V Ukrajini je polovica otrok morala zapustiti svoj dom.

 

uredilo bitje sadhu sequencer
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sadhu sequencer reče pred 52 minutami:

Človek več ne ve ali je morda Pootin tale svoj neuspeli poskus okupacije Ukrajine uporabil kot krinko za čistke med generali.

 

https://nova24tv.si/svet/video-se-en-ruski-general-izgubil-zivljenje-ruska-vojska-zavzela-mesto-v-blizini-cernobila/

 

Na severu se je predvčerajšnjim ruska vojska začela umikat.

 

https://nova24tv.si/svet/putinova-severna-fronta-pred-sesutjem/

 

 

Ministry of Defence 🇬🇧 (@DefenceHQ) / Twitter

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Ruska vojska je v soboto zavzela mesto Slavutič, kjer prebivajo delavci jedrske elektrarne v Černobilu. Pri tem so aretirali župana mesta Jurija Fomičeva. Kmalu zatem so sledili protesti prebivalcev. Župana Fomičeva so medtem izpustili na prostost, poroča Guardian. Ruska vojska je danes sporočila, da se bodo umaknili iz mesta, če bodo Ukrajinci županu izročili orožje z izjemo lovskih pušk.

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Navedek

summary for the last 48 hours (25-26 Mar 22).

STRATEGIC
The Keystone Cops in Moscow are in overdrive to inflate Ukrainian losses, the last two days. Not that the releases by the Ukrainian GenStab about Russian losses can be taken that much more seriously: by now it’s obvious this is superimposing only selected successes, zip-lip about own losses (I’m seriously concerned there will be a shock once these become known), and dishonest even in regards of several successful counterattacks. But, seriously: claiming the destruction of 190 Ukrainian aircraft and shot down of 36 Bayraktars, the way the Keystone Cops do…. that’s more than the UKAF had at the start of the war, and more TB.2s than Ukraine has acquired by now…

In reality, there are ever more reports about the cancellation of the spring demobilisation in Russia: usually, about a third of conscripts is ending its service on 1 April, every year. Think, this year this is unlikely to happen.

AIR
The VKS is now ‘regularly’ flying about 300 combat sorties a day, and that’s little surprising considering the situation on several frontlines: the West OSK is now obviously using its air power as a ‘fire brigade’.

That is: the VKS is active over the frontlines only, and nowhere to be seen anywhere deeper over Ukraine. Instead, the Russians hit the one of factories in Lviv with at least two cruise missiles, setting it on fire. They have targeted Vinnytsa with Kalibr cruise missiles, too: one of these was shot down, don’t know what was hit by the others.

NORTH
Ukrainians claim additional success north-west of Kyiv, but as mentioned before there’s not much evidence to see – which is no surprise considering the nature of their ‘hit-and-run’ operations there. They might have liberated the villages of Kukharska, outside Ivankiv (about 50km north-west of Kyiv), though. Heavy fighting is reported form Irpin and Hostomel, but no details have been released so far. What is confirmed as of this morning is that the Omega Battalion (foreign volunteers, including numerous ex-US Army SF-operators) has liberated Moshchun, 15km north of Kyiv.

That said, IMHO, this is all 'just a distraction' from dramatic developments in north-eastern and eastern Ukraine, though...

NORTH-EAST
The RFA has seized Slavutych, and the land connection between the local garrison and Chernihiv was cut off. Indeed, as of the morning of 26 Mar, the Russians have managed to put the last three roads out of Chernihiv towards south and south-west under their fire-control: means, this city is now effectively surrounded by the RFA.

That much about 'bad news' from this part of Ukraine, though. I cannot but scratch my head about reports and counter-reports about developments in the area further south-east, i.e. between Chernihiv, Sumy and Brovary (i.e. in the back of the 2nd GCAA’s positions vis-à-vis eastern Kyiv). Get yourself a map of that part of Ukraine, and then see this.

According to the Ukrainians, they have raided a Russian forward storage depot in Vyshneve, and then set it on fire, causing a conflagration that lasted for five hours. According to the Russians, they have captured the Ukrainian ammo depot in Ichnya, about 100km south-east of Chernihiv, and 40km north of Pryluky.

Hm… now pay attention: Ukrainian raid on Vyshneve… OK, making sense. But, Ichnya is on one of few east-west roads under the control of the 2nd GCAA: WTF were the Russians doing there the last four weeks… or what’s so important the Keystone Cops are NOW bragging with the capture of this place….?!?

….and that’s not to talk about reports on what’s going on in the Sumy area: reportedly, the Ukrainians are advancing in direction of their garrison ‘besieged by well-fortified enemy’ (see: something like 4-5 BTGs of the 1st GTA). But: from what direction? AFAIK, the battle for Okhtyrka is still in full swing, and the 1st GTA is holding Lebedyn under siege, too…. So, unless the Ukrainians found enough forces to attack from Romny along the H-07 highway in eastern direction….?

Really, not sure what’s going on there, but: if the Ukrainians are this deep inside the southern flank of the 2nd GCAA, then the entire Russian position between Nizhyn and Sumy is in the process of collapsing like a house of cards…

For all practical purposes, to me it looks like – ACTUALLY – the Russians have withdrawn, or are in the process of withdrawing, most of the 2nd GCAA from north-east Ukraine, and have re-shuffled it – or are in the process of re-shuffling it - to the area south of Kharkiv. I.e. that the Ukrainians are in the process of liberating everything from Brovary in the west, to Shostka in the north and Sumy in the east.

No doubt, this sounds crazy, at least like wishful thinking. But, it’s perfectly possible. After all, there’s no point in the RFA continuing to suffer losses while ‘trying to reach eastern Kyiv’, if it’s a proven fact it can’t reach eastern Kyiv. Better withdraw the (urgently necessary) troops and use them where it’s making sense: further south-east. In turn, this would mean the Ukrainians are on all-out advance in north-eastern part of their country, though – and the GenStabU in Kyiv is zip-lip about this fact, probably fearing this might lessen Western determination to continue supporting it.
….one way or the other: I feel confirmed in mistrusting all sorts of official releases. ‘Lies, until proven otherwise’.

Now, pay attention at the area further south-east. A possible confirmation for all of this is the fact that after 4-5 days of bitter fighting for Trostyanets, the Ukrainians seem to have brought in their 93rd Mech, and either completely smashed the Russians there, or that the latter simply withdrew. So much so, the Urainians claim the liberation of not only the completely ruined Trostyanets, but also the village of Boromlya, further west (near the Russian border).

Their photos are shown the area around the badly damaged railway station of Trostyanets, and a number of T-80 MBTs, MSTA-S and other armoured vehicles of either the 2nd GMRD (Tamanskaya) – all captured intact.

BTW, 'don't worry': the Russians have carefully demolished two hospitals in Trostyanets, too: one was demolished by the VKS, the other was heavily mined by their troops before withdrawal…

In turn, the Keystone Cops in Moscow have claimed the destruction of a ‘command centre’ by its Ka-52s, without naming the place: might be related to the loss of two Ukrainian commanders of volunteer units in the Kharkiv area: Georgy Tarasenko (CO Freikorps Battalion), and Sergey Yongolenko (CO Kharkiv-1 Battalion), both of whom were reported as KIA, yesterday.

Another thing that’s sure – and then a very important development – is that, after a break of several days, the Ukrainian 92nd Mech is on the move again (this unit has mauled an equivalent of a full mechanised division of the RFA over the last three weeks). As first, it kicked the 138th MRB out of the villages of Mala Rohan and Vilkhivka, east of Kharkiv, two days ago. Then it turned south and demolished the remnants of two Russian BTGs holding Husarivka. This morning, plenty of photos of burned-out BTR-82s and some T-72Bs are circling the social media: reportedly, the 92nd destroyed and/or captured more than 60 armoured vehicles.

Why is this important?

Remember my assessment that this war is going to be decided in the triangle Izium-Vuhledar-Zaporozhye – and the announcement by the Keystone Cops that, ‘after destroying the Ukrainian Armed Forces’, they’re going to re-focus on the LOC in eastern Ukraine?

Husarivka is only 15-20km west of Izium, and thus this ‘tactical counterattack’ of the 92nd Mech is having ‘operational-level’ importance: it is threatening the northern flank and even the rear of the Russian 144th MRD – and this precisely at the time this is eyebrows- if not hair-tips-deep into running an offensive across the Donets River, further south.

Namely, on 23-24 Mar, the 144th pushed south on either side of Izium. A BTG from the 3rd MRD circumnavigated this town from the west, constructed two pontoon bridges on the Siversky Donets (see the attached photo: the CO 45th Independent Engineering Brigade was KIA in the course of this operation), and attacked in direction of the Kamyanka Dam. Simultaneously, a BTG from the 59th GTR seems to have breached the Ukrainian frontline east of Izium: it blasted the village of Kamyanka with TOS-1s, took the same and is meanwhile pushing on Barvinkove. With other words: the 6th CAA is on the best way of surrounding elements of the Ukrainian 81st Brigade in the southern outskirts of the town – except the 92nd ruins its rear….

Obviously, the Ukrainians are meanwhile rushing… ‘significant reinforcements’ in this direction. Again, I’m sorry for I’m not going to go into details about any other of involved Ukrainian Army units, or those moving in this direction; just belittle releases by different of MODs of NATO-members and US think-tanks, according to which (quote), ‘there were no significant changes in the situation at the front’. On what planet are the people in question living, again….and about what war do they think they are reporting?!?

Overall, exactly as expected, the Russians have re-focused their attention. Now the imperative for the West OSK is to encircle the Ukrainian units on the LOC to Luhansk and Donbas. They have achieved a penetration of the Ukrainian frontline south of Denets, and the unsurprising result of all of this is a ‘meeting engagement’ - raging all the way from Andrivka in the north-west to Slovyansk and Kramatorsk in the south-east. IMHO, this is going to be the decisive battle of this war: either the Russians punch through and surround the Ukrainians, or they are going to suffer such losses that their sole solution will be… ‘Plan F: hold whatever of Ukraine you still can’, i.e. a strategic defensive.

EAST
Ukrainian units in the Severodonetsk area (AFAIK: Donbas Battalion, 79th and 111th Brigades; can mention these; the West OSK and the COs of the 20th and 8th CAA know them all too well by now) are now surrounded from three sides: by elements of the 3rd MRD of the 20th CAA from the west and north, and by Separatists controlled by the 8th CAA from the east. The city, plus Ribizhne, Lysychansk and Popasna nearby are all under continuous artillery barrages and air strikes. The Ukrainians there have little option but to hold to their positions and wait for the outcome of the battle in their rear (see: Izium area), and in the south (see: Horlivka area).

Namely, in the southern portion of the LOC, the Ukrainians seem to have withdrawn from Verkhnotoretske, and the Russians then attacked Novobakhmutivka and Panteleimonivka. With this, there’s no denial that the Ukrainian LOC was punctured in the Horlivka.

Should that butcher known as Lt. Gen Mizintsev (CO 8th CAA) now get distracted from massacring and/or deporting civilians in the Mariupol area for few minutes, and actually use some of his troops for serious fighting, he might want to reinforce this penetration and rush in direction of Kramatorsk from the south.

....I admit: this might sound like if I’m having fun, but this is dead serious. I do not expect a lot from a beast like Mizintsev, but there's no denial that his coordination of IRGC and Assadist troops, back in 2017, 'liberated' Aleppo - from its population. Instead, I am ‘professionally curious’ – to see if Kyiv still has reserves to patch up this part of the frontline, ‘too’. So far, the Ukrainian Army and its GenStab have surprised me – and the Russians – plenty of times. Perhaps they can manage it once again….?

SOUTH
In Mariupol, Mizintsev has deployed a fresh BTG of the 68th GTR to punch all the way to the Church of the Intercession. From there, this is attempting to link-up with Chechen and Rosgvardia units attacking through the Azovstal area from the east, so to cut the garrison into two (is a standard tactics for operations of this kind). That said, this seems to have been one of rare occasions at which the Russian artillery supported its troops: for nearly four weeks now, the defenders can’t stop wondering about the mass of enemy shells and rockets flying over their heads to hit apartment buildings behind them.

What am I rambling about, now? Although Mariupol is besieged since 1 March, hardly one of local military bases was hit from the air or shelled so far, and the four major Ukrainian units there – the Russians are assessing their strength at about 7,000 troops – have suffered relatively light losses so far (to quote one of contacts there: ‘dozens’). Their stockpiles of ammunition and supplies are all still largely intact. It is civilians that are suffering the most – because Mizintsev is obsessed with coercing the Ukrainian garrison into a surrender through mass-murder. The way he ‘liberated’ Aleppo – of most of its population… Unsurprisingly, what are about 100,000 civilians still inside Mariupol experiencing these days cannot be put into words. However, the garrison is perfectly intact, and – given it had eight years to prepare and stock supplies precisely for this battle – it’s going to hold out as long as it’s got enough water and ammo. And that is likely to be...‘long’.

In the Mykolaiv area….after blasting the HQ of the 49th CAA and killing its CO, Lt Gen Rezantsev, on 24 Mar, the Ukrainians launched another of their ‘hit-and-run’ infantry offensives. Contrary to the situation north-west of Kyiv, this operation seems to be highly successful, primarily because the 7th VDV Division holding Kherson is in tatters: late on 25, the Ukrainians have reached Tschornobajiwka, i.e. north-western outskirts of Kherson. Should the Ukrainians now manage to instigate an armed uprising inside the city….well, the Russian position there is precarious even without it: the local Rosgvardia is excelling at terrorising the population, disappearing the mayor, different politicans and journalists, and in looting, but is no replacement for the 7th Division’s lack of heavy weapons.

By best will, I do not understand why don’t the Russians withdraw from the western bank of the Dnepr River and convert Kherson into a ‘fortress’….? After all, that was exactly what the Keystone Cops were ‘demonstrating’ when showing a video of field fortifications being constructed there, few days ago…

 

Tom Cooper
Editor, ACIG.info
Series Editor, @War series
Helion & Co.

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“We suspect China is alarmed” by the actions taken against Russia, says Stephen Jen, who runs hedge fund and advisory firm Eurizon SLJ Capital. “China has woken up to their vulnerability from their reliance on the dollar.”

 

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-03-19/how-russia-s-war-fuels-the-dollar-debate-new-economy-saturday

uredilo bitje tyne
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Pametna poteza Putina bi bila, da glede na popoln poraz Rusije na severu Ukrajine na pogovorih v Turčiji naslednji teden popusti glede zahtev po demilitarizaciji in nevtralnosti in samo pri Donbasu ter Krimu dobi kar želi. Tudi Zelenski bi popustil mogoče, ker takšen kompromis bi bil velikanski umik nazaj pri obeh straneh. In bilo bi pošteno, če se mene vpraša. Tisti kup blata v Donbasu ni vreden prelivanja krvi in na "nepotopljivi letalonosilki" Krim bo zabavno gledati srečevanje NATO letal z ruskimi. Turistična atrakcija.

uredilo bitje sadhu sequencer
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A se spomnite ukrajinca, ki je klical sorodnike mrtvih ruskih vojakov, se nad njimi izzivljal in snemal to? Identificiran je:

Navedek

 

A member of Bandera's "Azov", is Pilipchuk Ivan Ivanovich, 02/02/1985, phone +380987680536.

Someone in the phone book was written as "Vanya the coach loves in the ass" 🤦🏻‍♂🤮

We will keep the address of his residence in the Zhytomyr region, his parents are there.  Anyway, Vanyusha is not there now, but if he does not repent of his deeds in public, it will be painful.  While Vanya, hiding behind the backs of civilians, is terrorizing civilian Russians, we traced his every move by his DRFO code 3107912292 (an analogue of the TIN in Russia).

 

Heard that someone has already announced a reward for data about him, take it for free!

 

 

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Sinopec hit pause after realising that Sibur minority shareholder and board member Gennady Timchenko had been sanctioned by the West, the source said. The European Union and Britain last month imposed sanctions on Timchenko, a long-time ally of Russian President Vladimir Putin, and other billionaires with ties to Putin. 

 

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/exclusive-chinas-sinopec-pauses-russia-projects-beijing-wary-sanctions-sources-2022-03-25/

 

Auč. Če to indicira odločitev Kitajske do odnosa z Rusijo bo Putina še močno bolela glava.

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mal si kontradiktiraš (Ah sej to ni nič // Bolj kot jih bodo stiskal slabše bo), ampak s tem drugim delom se mega strinjam. Razni in your face komentarji od tiste živeče mumije od Biddena kako ga je treba menjat pa da je kriminalec, pa sankcija na sankcija na sankcijo, pa iz dneva v dan takšnale lepe zadeve (spodnja je iz veleposlaništva v Oslu), pa zelo poniževalen ton in tauntanje zelo veliko politikov (Kdo v EU sploh še ve, kako rublji izgledajo, pa lep, lp jj pozdrav) pa ful zabremzana invazija zaradi blata / na tisoče kosov antitank orožja / boljše pripravljenosti UA kot so vsi pričakovali...

 

IEcTZl.jpg

 

...jaz se 1.000.000x bolj bojim da se dedcu skeglja in naredi kaj res katastrofalnega. Recimo nukne neki "strateško" pomembnega npr. Al pa masovno fukne kako kemijo. Pač neki, kar nas bo res potisnilo na rob ali čez. Jebeš dražji plin, energente, hrano. To bomo z našimi standardi že preživeli. Nuklearnega ognja pač ne.

 

Sej to sem že prakrat napisal, res me je strah tega. Pa kot kažejo rezervacije iz turizma iz zahodne evrope in ZDA, nisem edini. Naši dragi bratje in nov svetilnik vojaško močne evrope, Nemci, so tudi čist into nuclear fear... MEGA drop v DE rezervacijah je praktično povsod :( 

uredilo bitje Galko
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