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johnbi

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ana reče pred 43 minutami:

Se enkrat nihce ni trdil, da se reorganizirajo okoli KIjeva zato, ker morajo cez mejo po opremo. Receno je bilo samo, da so dolocene enote morale, cez mejo, katere so te enote in kje pa ni bilo razlozeno. (koliko je to res ali ne, je drugo vprasanje). Jasno pa je, da imajo mnogo vecje probleme (ce ne ne bi iskali placance v Siriji in drugod) in kaj bodo ali ne bodo poceli okoli Kijeva se ni povsem jasno, jasno pa je, da v Ukrajini ne bo Gruzija tip operacije. 

Kijev je tu samo primer iz katerega bržkone sledijo ti zapisi zaradi časovne korelacije. In če v Kijevu ne - kje potem (glede na to, da gre prav tam za najbolj očiten, celo s strani ruske strani napovedan "umik")

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Navedek

Indeed, this video is actually revealing 'everything' about their tactics.

You have a 'battlefield taxi': in the case of mechanised units, this would've been a BMP-2; in the case of motorised units, a BTR-4 or something of that kind; in the case of infantry units, a civilian pick-up is enough, too. You've got a scout element (BRDM-2). So, they 'roam' the battlefield: scouts searching for favourable area, the infantry brings its ATGM into position, fires - and runs away: jumps into the taxy and the entire exercise is repeated again, somewhere else. Probably, there's artillery 'nearby', ready to support if necessary.

Now mind: the Ukrainians probably have over 300,000 troops under arms meanwhile. These are equipped with plentiful of ATGMs, MANPADS, sniper rifles and similar stuff. They might be short on fuel for larger movement of heavier vehicles (i.e. their large mechanised units), but still have enough for lighter. And there's not only 'one' such 'platoon', but there are dozens of them, all the time 'swarming' the Russians from multiple sides. They have all the intel the NATO can supply, and - especially in comparison to the Russians - excellent coms. Means: they know where is the opponent, and where is it heading. And they have enough space to go on like this even in face of major Russian advances. One of them might knock out 'just one' Russian vehicle at a time. But, 10-15 of them can (and regularly do) knock out plenty of Russian vehicles. And, Ukraine is huge, offering them enough space for manoeuvre: it doesn't matter if they 'trade' 10-15km, if knocking out 10-15 Russian MBTs, IFVs or similar stuff a day. That's enough to maul any of RFA's BTGs, to wear it down, rapidly.

No surprise then: none of videos released by the Keystone Cops in Moscow in the last few weeks is ever shown more than 2-3 vehicles, and about a 'platoon-worth' of troops. I.e. the Russians simply have nothing to 'saturate' with their superior firepower (foremost artillery, but the VKS too).

...and with the Russians now down to about 100,000 _combat_ troops in Ukraine (add some 50,000 in terms of VKS- and Navy units deployed around Ukraine), it's obvious that they can't keep the situation under control for very much longer.

Worst of all (from Putin's point of view): it's the same in the Russian rear. I.e. Russians have far too few troops, and far too few support assets to maintain effective control of their supply lines. They can't even control roads that are so important for the flow of their supplies. Means, there's enough space for the Ukrainians to act exactly the same way 'well within occupied territories'. If they run out of ATGMs, they switch to IEDs: there's meanwhile at least one video shown the Ukrainians smashing a better portion of a Russian convoy with help of a 'Daizy-chain' of IEDs, too.... imagine what kind of shock, chaos, losses, and problems is just one such blow causing.... That's where that with wasting troops - even, actually, useless 'auxiliaries' like Rosgvardia - to terrorise the population, is hitting the Russians back like a boomerang (the way it hit the Wehrmacht, back in 194-1942): it's entirely counterproductive, both in regards of wasting troops, and in increasing sympathies for Ukrainian 'partisan/guerrilla/left behind' units.

'Cummulative results' of all of this was best shown in the Izium area, the last 5-6 days. The Russians deployed a full brigade of Naval Infantry, plus two BTGs of the 144th MRD, plus a BTG of the 45th Engineering Brigade to punch down both sides of the town. This worked well: the Ukrainian 81st Airborne had to withdraw in order to avoid encirclement. However, while it was doingt that, the Territorial Defence slowed the Russians down. This bought the time for the Ukrainians to organise defence in depth and - immediately - launch a counterattack. The 81st Airborne established new positions in Topolske, Kamyanka, and Thyhotske: together with the TD, it caused such losses to the Russians as these attempted to cross 10km of open space, that their attack collapsed just while they were trying to reach Topolske and Kamyanka. Meanwhile, the Ukrainians rushed the 92nd Mech from Kharkiv: this first destroyed the northern flank of the Russian advance. That is, two battered BTGs of the 3rd MRD in Husarivka. Thus, it opened an axis of advance along the road (to save fuel and secure its supply line), and then drove all the way (some 25-30km) further south-east - straight into the back of the 45th Engineering Brigade and the 144th. The Russians haven't even had the time to realise what's going on, and the Ukrainians are already back to the southern outskirts of Izium... Guess, we're going to see lots photos and videos of Russian wreckage from that area, the next few days.

 

Tom Cooper
Editor, ACIG.info
Series Editor, @War series
Helion & Co.

 

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Kakarotto reče pred 1 uro:

Nene, sej so povedal edini kredibilni vojaški analitiki, da je all gut:

- probal so z elito mal na hitr,  ker so imeli putkoti intel da Ukrajinci niso narod in bodo z desantno enoto naredili dovolj štale, da se bodo zadrogiranci usrali

- so vidli, da ni šlo, kar je uspeh vseeno, probal malo fear taktike z DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOLGIM konvojem vozil, da so se sateliti tresli od strahu

- Kijev se ni usral, ni važno, uspeh vseeno, gremo s kanonfutrom nad predmestja, radirajmo kar se da, se bodo že usrali in predali

- ni šlo, vseeno, dejansko dosegli TOČNOTO.si kar so hotli.

- Zdaj ko je Ukrajina malo pritisnila nazaj, z "lahkoto" pridobila predmestja nazaj se je pa pokazal cel master plan tega, da je bil cel čas cilj samo vzhod in #denacifikacija vzhoda in priključitev vseh rusov matici, ker drugje nacistov dejansko sploh ni, pa je bilo vse tisto okoli Kijeva klasična zvijača medvedov.

 

Pa še to, Ukrajinci so tako zavistni in neprivoščljivi, da razfukavajo Mariupolj, ko bežijo. Prav svinje nič celega ne pustijo za sabo.

 

:D :D :D 

 

Pozabil si dodati, da je zračni desant elitne enote padalcev, kjer so od 2.000 vojakov ostali živi celi štirje (4) ljudje, hkrati tudi del (sicer zelo uspešnega) slepilnega manevra!

 

 

 

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Galko reče pred 2 urama:

 

:D :D :D 

 

Pozabil si dodati, da je zračni desant elitne enote padalcev, kjer so od 2.000 vojakov ostali živi celi štirje (4) ljudje, hkrati tudi del (sicer zelo uspešnega) slepilnega manevra!

 

 

 

ti si dejansko v svoji profesiji slabši kot pri analizi basketa. Kaj točno dela ta tweet kredibilen? 

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Drugače pa na vzhodu nič novega. Tole napoveduje dvoje. Da Rusije sankcije ne zadevajo (dovolj) in da so kljub temu da desanti izgubijo v povprečju 1996 vojakov ... imajo vseeno dovolj teritorija, da se jim zdi smiselno nadaljevat vojno. Zanimivo bo ali se bodo čez kak teden spet napotili v kijev če Ukrajinci ne bodo podpisali dogovora glede krima. 

 

Ukraine war latest: Nothing very promising in peace talks, says Russia - BBC News

uredilo bitje zzarafrustra
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model nehi me quotat pa ogovarjat, a ti je jasno? Tečen si, nadut si ko kurac, zapičen v svoj prav pa še navijaški. 1 % želje nimam imeti interakcije s tabo, ma rajši si grem med prsti svaljkat še topel drek od mačka, zdej mi dej pa mir, če že moraš tud po tem topicu špricat s svojo drisko,

  • Račka +1 2
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Galko reče pred 2 minutama:

model nehi me quotat pa ogovarjat, a ti je jasno? Tečen si, nadut si ko kurac, zapičen v svoj prav pa še navijaški. 1 % želje nimam imeti interakcije s tabo, ma rajši si grem med prsti svaljkat še topel drek od mačka, zdej mi dej pa mir, če že moraš tud po tem topicu špricat s svojo drisko,

A moji premišljeni odgovori so "driska" tvoje citiranje ostint tweetov pa je vrhunec vojaške analize in sploh ne navijaštvo? A ga lahko kak od modov mal da na hladno za par ur glede na to da me žali?

 

in be4 ban ker ne zna odgovorit. 

uredilo bitje zzarafrustra
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zzarafrustra reče pred 7 minutami:

Drugače pa na vzhodu nič novega. Tole napoveduje dvoje. Da Rusije sankcije ne zadevajo (dovolj) in da so kljub temu da desanti izgubijo v povprečju 1996 vojakov ... imajo vseeno dovolj teritorija, da se jim zdi smiselno nadaljevat vojno. 

 

Ukraine war latest: Nothing very promising in peace talks, says Russia - BBC News

Si ti pričakoval, da bodo Rusi ob sankcijah rekli 'okey dokey' in šli domov? Bile bi prve ekonomske sankcije v zgodovini, ki bi delovale v enem mesecu.

uredilo bitje ana
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MikeHunt reče pred 42 minutami:

 

 

pa sej ta tip ve, da je Ukrajina vukojebina evrope on par z moldavijo?

 

ni nakljucje, da je v Evropi sinonim za prostitutko "Ukrajinka"

 



LP

Ko so rdečearmejci prišli v nemčijo ji je precej prbic videlo wc. Rusija ni samo moskva.

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